Prediction Explanation: Farley 2

Feature importance and per-unit prediction explanations for the model.

Per-Unit Prediction Explanation

Why was this prediction made? Each bar shows how a feature pushed the prediction higher or lower compared to the fleet average.

When will the next refueling outage begin?

FeatureValueImpact (days)
Cycle Length (days) 525.0 +34.13 days
Prior Cycle Length (months) 17.3 -12.3 days
unit_pct_in_predicted_month 0.1 -2.43 days
Day of Week 1.0 -0.69 days
Forced Outage Days in Cycle 1.0 +0.64 days
Age at Outage (years) 45.1 +0.53 days
Fleet Density N/A -0.52 days
unit_pct_in_spring_fall 0.9 -0.46 days
Days Since Fleet Prev Outage N/A -0.45 days
unit_pct_in_winter 0.1 -0.42 days

Start Date — Global Importance

When will the next refueling outage begin?

Refueling Duration — Global Importance

How long will the next refueling outage last?

Refueling Extension — Global Importance

How many days past schedule will it run?

Forced Outage Duration — Global Importance

If a forced outage occurs now, how long will it last?

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