Prediction Explanation: Millstone 2

Feature importance and per-unit prediction explanations for the model.

Per-Unit Prediction Explanation

Why was this prediction made? Each bar shows how a feature pushed the prediction higher or lower compared to the fleet average.

When will the next refueling outage begin?

FeatureValueImpact (days)
Prior Cycle Length (months) 18.3 -17.89 days
Cycle Length (days) 556.0 +13.91 days
Years to License Expiration 7.8 +1.48 days
3-Outage Rolling Avg Duration 47.7 +1.38 days
Age at Outage (years) 51.8 +1.35 days
Containment Type PWR-DRYAMB -1.1 days
Day of Week 2.0 -0.85 days
unit_pct_in_spring_fall 0.9 -0.77 days
unit_pct_in_predicted_month 0.4 +0.58 days
m6_month_dist_to_modal 6.0 +0.44 days

Start Date — Global Importance

When will the next refueling outage begin?

Refueling Duration — Global Importance

How long will the next refueling outage last?

Refueling Extension — Global Importance

How many days past schedule will it run?

Forced Outage Duration — Global Importance

If a forced outage occurs now, how long will it last?

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