Prediction Explanation: Peach Bottom 3

Feature importance and per-unit prediction explanations for the model.

Per-Unit Prediction Explanation

Why was this prediction made? Each bar shows how a feature pushed the prediction higher or lower compared to the fleet average.

When will the next refueling outage begin?

FeatureValueImpact (days)
Prior Cycle Length (months) 23.9 +29.84 days
Cycle Length (days) 728.0 -28.06 days
Containment Type BWR-MARK 1 +1.44 days
3-Outage Rolling Avg Duration 14.7 +0.96 days
unit_pct_in_spring_fall 1.0 -0.66 days
Age at Outage (years) 52.8 +0.66 days
Day of Week 1.0 -0.6 days
Fleet Density N/A -0.6 days
unit_pct_in_predicted_month 0.2 +0.57 days
Fleet Outages This Year 8.0 +0.57 days

Start Date — Global Importance

When will the next refueling outage begin?

Refueling Duration — Global Importance

How long will the next refueling outage last?

Refueling Extension — Global Importance

How many days past schedule will it run?

Forced Outage Duration — Global Importance

If a forced outage occurs now, how long will it last?

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