Prediction Explanation: Millstone 3

Feature importance and per-unit prediction explanations for the model.

Per-Unit Prediction Explanation

Why was this prediction made? Each bar shows how a feature pushed the prediction higher or lower compared to the fleet average.

When will the next refueling outage begin?

FeatureValueImpact (days)
Cycle Length (days) 539.0 +20.78 days
Prior Cycle Length (months) 17.7 -10.49 days
Day of Week 5.0 +0.49 days
m6_month_dist_to_modal 6.0 +0.43 days
unit_pct_in_predicted_month 0.4 +0.39 days
unit_modal_month 4.0 -0.39 days
3-Outage Rolling Avg Duration 44.0 +0.38 days
Containment Type PWR-DRYSUB -0.37 days
Reactor Type (NSSS) WEST 4LP -0.36 days
unit_pct_in_spring_fall 0.9 -0.36 days

Start Date — Global Importance

When will the next refueling outage begin?

Refueling Duration — Global Importance

How long will the next refueling outage last?

Refueling Extension — Global Importance

How many days past schedule will it run?

Forced Outage Duration — Global Importance

If a forced outage occurs now, how long will it last?

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