Prediction Explanation: Monticello

Feature importance and per-unit prediction explanations for the model.

Per-Unit Prediction Explanation

Why was this prediction made? Each bar shows how a feature pushed the prediction higher or lower compared to the fleet average.

When will the next refueling outage begin?

FeatureValueImpact (days)
Cycle Length (days) 735.0 -33.44 days
Prior Cycle Length (months) 24.2 +27.37 days
Net Capacity (MWe) 617.0 -1.84 days
unit_pct_in_predicted_month 0.5 +1.67 days
Containment Type BWR-MARK 1 +1.47 days
Owner Xcel Energy +1.41 days
Fleet Outages This Year N/A -1.05 days
Fleet Density N/A -1.01 days
Forced Outage Days in Cycle 16.0 -0.75 days
unit_pct_in_spring_fall 0.9 -0.73 days

Start Date — Global Importance

When will the next refueling outage begin?

Refueling Duration — Global Importance

How long will the next refueling outage last?

Refueling Extension — Global Importance

How many days past schedule will it run?

Forced Outage Duration — Global Importance

If a forced outage occurs now, how long will it last?

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